NBA Draft Big Board Top 40

Welcome to the Latest Edition of the PickandPopDiaries NBA Draft big board! This is my biggest yet, 40 prospects deep.  Tomorrow, fellow blogger Evan Javel will have out the first of our Mock Drafts.  This list is how I look at players NBA skill sets, not the order of the draft, as each team has their own needs.  Enjoy, comment, and come back for more as we get ready for the postseason and the NBA Draft.

1. Ben McLemore, Kansas SG 6-5

By this point I'm sure everyone is familiar with the Kansas star freshman.  McLemore's combination of incredible athleticism, a sweet shooting stroke and strong defense have us all thinking he could be a future all star.  His inconsistencies though have left some doubt about his place atop the draft board, but I believe his skill set and good health should place him above Noel for most teams. Games like his monster effort against West Virginia on March 2nd when he dropped 36 on 12-15 shooting including 5-6 from deep speak to his potential.  His 2 point, 0-9 from the field performance in Kansas' 3rd round win in the tourney vs UNC show his inconsistencies.

2. Nerlens Noel, Kentucky PF/C 6-11

An ACL tear has not limited his value much at all on NBA draft boards.  The shot blocking phenom has incredible athleticism and energy. He will likely never be a big time scorer at the next level, but what he brings to a team is far more valuable than that.  If he could shoot well, I'd compare him to KG.  He has incredible passion and plays the game as hard as anyone.  Any team that drafts him will be making a great choice, he could easily go number 1.


3. Otto Porter, Georgetown SF 6-8

This kid does everything well.  He is a safe pick and will excel on the next level.  I see a lot of Rudy Gay in his game, but I believe he can score more efficiently.

4. Marcus Smart, Ok. St PG 6-4

The versatile Smart has as much potential as anyone, but I just haven't seen the consistency and shooting stroke that screams franchise player from the PG position.  I think he could be a similar player to Tyreke Evans, which is not a bad thing, but I believe not worthy of the top overall pick.  He does possess incredible passing, court vision and handle so regardless he will be a major asset on the next level.

5. Anthony Bennett, UNLV PF 6-8

I love AB and if he was 6-10 he would likely go number one, but as an undersized power forward, he will have his hands full at the next level.  He has excellent ball handling for his size, great agility and instincts, but he needs to improve both his shooting and conditioning to be a star.  He could be the next Paul Milsap and an offensive force on the next level. I do worry about his defense.

6. Victor Oladipo, Indiana SG 6-5

OLA-DIPO! That chant never got old for me this season as this athletic freak took the NCAA by storm.  A first team All American, he is a dominant wing defender, a terrific driver and finisher at the rim and a solid shooter.  If he can become a knock down shooter, which is possible with his pretty shooting stroke, he could be 20-25 point a game scorer.

7. Shabazz Muhammed, UCLA SG/SF 6-6

Well Bazz is one year older than we all thought and that hurts him by pushing him out of top 5 consideration.  He struggles defensively and getting his teammates involved, but he can score with the best of them.  He should be able to come into the league and be a double digit scorer right away.

8. Cody Zeller, Indiana PF/C 6-11

You couldn't ask for a more polished big man. He does everything well, has great footwork and absolutely flies up and down the court.  He needs to get stronger, much stronger, but he comes in ready to play big minutes right away.

9. Trey Burke, Michigan PG 6-0

This kid has heart to go along with his amazing skill set.  He isn't the fastest or strongest, both of which he will work on, but he just knows how to play on both ends of the floor.  He is the heart of Wolverines and the likely national player of the year.  I would love to have a warrior like this on my team.

10. Michael Carter-Williams, Syracuse PG 6-5

The best passer in this class, MCW has risen to new heights in the tourney.  He now is finally looking like the scorer we all thought he could be, dominating the paint as a PG. He may need one year to adjust and add some strength as well as adjusting to man-to-man defense (the Cuse run a zone) but as a point guard prospect in this class I don't think he's far behind Smart.

11. Alex Len, Maryland C 7-1

Well, his guards are not very good and don't get him looks in good scoring position, but the polished big man can score from about anywhere. He will need to add considerable strength, but a Brook Lopez comp is not out of the question if things go well for him.

12. Glen Robinson III, Michigan SF 6-6

He doesn't get enough looks in the Michigan offense and I thought about placing him hire on this list, but for now I'll keep him late lottery.  He can shoot, pass, and handle well. He has great athleticism and length which he combines with intelligent play.  He doesn't always show up, but as I said, I believe that is more a factor of playing on such a stacked team. If he gets stronger (do I say this for everyone?) and handle the physicality of NBA SFs than he will be a steal this late.

13. Gary Harris, Mich. St. SG 6-4

A great athlete with an NBA body, the only downsides to this player is that he is not a great shooter yet and he is little undersized.  He can get to the rim and finish in a variety of ways from 15 feet in.  A solid player, not a star.

14. Mason Plumlee, Duke PF 6-10

Plumlee is made for the NBA with his speed and leaping ability.  I think he will flourish with a double double average within a couple seasons.  If he gets picked up by a running team like Houston or Golden State or plays with an elite point guard he will be a monster.

15. Kelly Olynyk, Gonzaga C 7-0

The smooth big man from Canada can score in any way. Back to the basket, face up, or on the break the man can just score.  He isn't an elite rebounder or shot blocker but he does know how to play.  His big-time improvement this year gives me hope he can be a good pro.  And yes, he needs to add strength to play in the post in the NBA.

16. CJ McCollum, Lehigh SG 6-3

A true scorer with good handle, he comes in NBA ready.  A nice player to add if he slips to a playoff caliber team.

17. Steven Adams, Pitt C 7-0

A project big no doubt, but you cannot teach size and athleticism.  He is strong and plays with great energy too. I think he should stay, but as the youngest of 18 children, family pressures are likely to push him into the draft.

18. Dario Saric, Croatia, SF 6-10

He is a very skilled wing player who can handle and dish the rock.  Great court vision and rebounding are combined with a below average jump shot.  He needs work, but with a good shooting stroke could be a star.

19. Jeff Withey, Kansas C 7-0

The dominant shot blocker from Kansas should have a long prosperous NBA career.  He is not a great rebounder, but can finish at the rim and will be active on both ends.  I really like this pick for any NBA playoff team.

20. Jammal Franklin, San Diego St. SG 6-5

A terrific rebounder and slasher, Franklin is also a great defensive player.  While he does not have star potential, he screams glue guy for a playoff team.

21. Rudy Gobert, France PF/C 7-1

He has a massive 7'9" wingspan to go along with great athleticism.  He doesn't have great strength or a polished offensive game, but as a project he an intriguing one.

22. Archie Goodwin, Kentucky SG 6-5

Goodwin looked out of control for most of the season with wild drives and scoring very inefficiently most of the time.  He does however have great ability.  More seasoning would be nice, but he is a first round pick right now.

23. Gorgui Dieng, Louisville C 6-11

A good rebounder and shot blocker, I think he should be a quality big man at the next level.  A post up game could make him a very dangerous player.  Another of the quality bigs that will be available at the end of the first round in this draft.

24. Isiah Austin, Baylor SF/PF 7-0

While he is super skilled and tall, he just hasn't had any consistency this year.  I believe he should stay, but a team will bite on him in the first if he goes.

25. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Georgia SG 6-5

Great shooter, defender and overall athlete his big weakness is moving with the ball. He could be a really good pro.

26. Shane Larkin, Miami PG 5-11

I hope he stays, but Larkin can handle the ball, shoot well and is a solid passer.  I think he could be Jameer Nelson 2.0 if he works on his finishing ability at the rim

27. Tony Mitchell, North Texas PF 6-8

A freak athlete who can do everything well, yet just doesn't most games.  If he gets his motor right, I think he could be Kenyon Martin.

28. James Michael-McAdoo, UNC PF 6-9

He is a great athlete, but a constant disappointment.  Maybe the challenge and coaching of the NBA level could get him to finally play to his potential.

29. Mitch McGary, Michigan, PF/C 6-10

McGary is a huge body who came in as the second highest rated prospect out of high school last year.  He has had a monster tourney, but from watching him for the full year I believe he can score and rebound at the NBA level, but may get taken to school on defense. His best comp is Nikola Pekovic if he maxes his potential.

30. Allen Crabbe, Cal SG/SF 6-6

The PAC-12 player of the year is a just a great scorer with deep range on his jump shot.  He goes after loose balls and is a good rebounder for his position.  He is not particularly athletic or strong, but he seems to be able to get off his shot regardless and can stick with his man on defense.  I could see him being a sneaky pick and turning into a Kevin Martin type player.

31. Patrick Young, Florida C 6-9

He didn't seem to get better this year, but I believe he can still be a quality defensive minded big man.  A quality shot blocker, he needs to improve his rebounding and touch around the rim. He will be a nice pickup for a team if he slides into the second round.

32. Russ Smith, Louisville PG/SG 6-0

A flat-out shooter and slasher, Smith can and loves to score.  He seems to work hard and could be a sixth man type scorer in the mold of Ben Gordon if he is able to get his shot off against the bigger NBA players.  He does have a nice step back which should be his go to at the next level.

33. Myck Kabongo, Texas PG/SG 6-1

Another good undersized scorer and point guard, Myck, who sat out much of the year due to a BS suspension by the NCAA looks to be a sleeper pick. He can pass and handle well, has nice range on his shot, is a scrappy defender and doesn't make too many turnovers. I love this pick at the end of the first for a team like San Antonio or Miami.

34. Lucas Nogueira, Brazil PF/C 6-11

Athletic shot blocker who has a lot of effort in his game is a project offensively.  He is also very weak, but a team could draft him and hold him overseas for a couple years to bulk up before coming over.

35. Adreian Payne, Mich St. PF/C 6-9

An Athletic freak, Payne is a really smooth athlete and looks comfortable as a high post player.  He will block shots and fight for rebounds.  Another player I think should get some looks at the end of the first or be a steal in the second.

36. CJ Leslie, NC State PF 6-9

I have loved Leslie since he came to NC State.  He would be a nice backup power forward as he can run on the break, fight for boards and will mix it up on D.  Needs to add strength to bang with NBA bigs, but this is a skilled man.

37. Doug McDermit, Creighton PF 6-8

A pure scorer and back to back All American, Dougie needs to get in much better shape to play in the NBA.  If he puts in the hard work, he could be a Keith Van Horn type (offensively skilled, limited on D).

38. Nate Wolters, South Dakota St. PG 6-3

He did it all for his Jack Rabbits, Wolters is a great scorer and ball handler.  I don't think he has the speed to be good NBA defender but I think he can score at any level.

39. PJ Hairston, UNC SG 6-5

Strong guard who can shoot from three and take it the whole. He plays with a lot of grit and heart which is great to watch but he is not a great ball handler and lacks the knock down elbow jumper.  I have heard he had weight issues in the past, but I believe with NBA conditioning that should not be a problem.

40.  Reggie Bullock, UNC SF 6-6

Great shooter and scorer in general, Bullock needs to add strength to play D.  I think he could be a nice end of the bench shooter.

Defensive Player Of The Year: The Finalists

Every year the NBA all defensive team is littered with all stars that happen to be good defenders, rather than the best defenders in the league (for example Kobe Bryant two years ago). When the voters aren't overrating defenders based on their offensive prowess, they often elect players who gamble to create turnovers rather than making the good defensive play that consistently help their team (i.e. Rajon Rondo). No matter what your bias of choice, it is easy to be swayed towards overrating a players defense based on reasons that do not help his team's defense. Luckily, for us, the viewing public, advanced statistics have provided us with an unbiased (althoug sometimes flawed) way of evaluating defense. Taking these biases into account, combining advanced statistics and my amateur scouting skills I will attempt to clear the murky waters that is NBA defense, and predict the finalists for Defensive Player of the Year.

Larry Sanders
Important Stats:
3.0 Blocks Per Game (leads league), 98 defensive rating (Fourth in NBA min. 1500 minutes), 8.2 block percentage (leads league min 1500 minutes), .57 Points Per Possession allowed against Isolations (11th in NBA)

Larry Sanders is the the gold standard for the development of project big men. After looking more or less completely lost in his first two years, he has been able to harness his athleticism to game changing levels.

His defense is the best example of the flaw in my favorite statistic, defensive rating. Defensive Rating or points allowed per 100 possessions is flawed because it is heavily dependent on teammates, allowing some average defenders to be the statistical beneficiary of good teammates. Although, Sander does play with some solid front court defenders, his back court teammates either can't or won't stop anyone, there-by hurting his defensive rating.

Not only do Monta Ellis (106 Defensive Rating) and Brandon Jennings (108 defensive rating) play matador defense, but their constant barrage of long two's clanking off the back iron, lead to an increase in run out opportunities for opponents.  When the Black Hole brothers bother to engage defensively they often go for steals, essentially removing themselves from their rotations. In other words his guard teammates make life much harder on Sanders. Larry Sanders' shot blocking prowess is routinely the only thing deterring opposing guards from a dribble drive parade to the rim, and the Bucks would be lost without him.

Sanders' probably won't win the defensive player of the year since it routinely goes to players on the top defensive teams. Despite this he will be in the conversation for years to come with his never ending motor and can do attitude.

Joakim Noah
Important Stats:
98 defensive rating (tied with Sanders),  4 shots have been attempted against him closing out on a pick and roll (0 baskets made), 2.2 Blocks Per Game (6th in NBA), 11.4 Rebounds Per Game (7th in NBA), 4.7 Win Shares (2nd in NBA)

The most important statistic for Joakim Noah (besides hair length) is not an individual one. The Chicago Bulls are third in the league at .85 points per possession allowed make no mistake, Noah is the driving force behind that number. What Noah has done leading a team comprised of many veteran castoffs to the third best defense, is truly remarkable.

What's more impressive is the minutes per game he produces this stellar defensive for. While Noah is tied with Larry Sanders as far as defensive rating, he does so playing 37.7 minutes per game to Sander's 27.

Although Noah is no slouch at 2.2 Blocks per game his contributions are more prevalent in preventing shots from even being attempted. His defensive rotations especially on the pick and roll are among the best in the games history. This is difficult to measure statistically since this is obvious to opposing teams, who simply avoid running the pick and roll against him.

Every basketball player knows that no defensive possession is complete without securing a defensive rebound (unless you force a turnover). Noah's ability to recover to the paint after pressuring the ball handler in the pick and roll, shows agility uncommon among men his size. After recovering ,his proficiency in ending defensive positions by securing the ball should also be considered when discussing defensive MVP.

Like Sanders, Noahs love for the defensive end of the court is infectious, often leading to bouts of awkward dancing/celebrations.

Avery Bradley
Important Stats:
.69 Points Per Possession (12th in NBA), only 23 attempts by opponents guarded while coming off screens, Celtics defense is 1.6 Point Per Possession better with him on the court, 102.1 D rating with Bradley injured 98.1 after he returned.

Maybe Bradley's inclusion on this list has to do with a bias of mine, (I did write a post on him being my favorite Celtic, after all). However, the reason he is my favorite player does coincide with why he is a defensive player of the year candidate, he gives 100% effort all the time, especially on defense.

If a statistic was kept on times a defender guarded his man full court, I suspect Bradley would lead it by a wide margin. With the talent level in the NBA, picking up a ball handler for the entire length of the court is usually a recipe for disaster. In Bradley's case his quickness strength and effort make it a disaster for opposing offenses. His ball pressure forces opponents to start their offense with half the shot clock already gone, making it exceedingly more easy for his teammates to get stops.

His elite defense is not solely a function of his on ball pressure, Bradley is as complete a wing defender as there is in the NBA. If you watch closely, you will realize that his ability to navagate opposing screens  is actually more impressive than his full court pressure. His skill at following his man through reminds one of a running back, in that he turns his shoulders to get through the smallest of spaces to prevent his charge from seperating.

A lot of Boston fans came to the conclusion that Rajon Rondo was the problem when the team went on a winning streak after his injury. Another explanation for their strong play during this stretch was that Avery Bradley was finally healthy, allowing the Celtics to return to the defense that made them elite. After returning Bradley has increased Boston's defense by 4 points per 100 possessions. This happened despite the loss of Rondo, who was an all NBA defensive first teamer the year previous.

Unfortunately, I was not able to find a humorous gif to pair with Bradley. Amusing on court antics just aren't his thing. Avery is a quiet unassuming guy, who turns on opponents with the tenacity of a pit bull, which happens to be the moniker Bradley and Courtney Lee took to when they became Celtics starters. Nope, no amusing dances here, just mean, nasty, tough defense.

Paul George
Important Stats:
5.9 Defensive Win Shares (1st in NBA), 96 Defensive Rating (3rd in NBA min 1500 minutes), 3 points per 100 possessions less are allowed when he is on the court

Usually when a player makes the leap offensively after being considered a very good defender early in his career, everyone assumes his defense makes the leap as well. Whether or not this is true, depends on the case, but regardless scoring more points usually will help a player's defensive reputation by causing more media attention to be brought his way. In this case, George might not be one of the best defensive players, but being the best player on the best defensive team will certainly garner him votes.

That is not to say George's numbers indicate that he is every bit the defender as any names on this list. His number one ranking in defensive win shares, indicates that his defense has created more wins for his team than any others. Although this isn't the greatest metric, being ranked first in any advanced defensive statistic is a feat.

Defensively he is behind only Tim Duncan in rating. However, Tim Duncan being in the twilight of his career (i.e. playing less games and minutes) will preclude him from getting many all defensive votes. Roy Hibbert has the same defensive rating as George, but rarely are two players from the same team finalists for DPoY. All things being equal, the voters will go with the better offensive players, in this case the edge goes to George.

Paul George is a freak of nature. WIth the length of a power forward but the quickness of a shooting guard, he is able to guard multiple positions, often taking the other team's best player and making life difficult for him. His defensive instincts aren't elite but most of the time it doesn't matter due to his unique athletic gifts. The Scary part is, George has only scratched the surface of what he will be as a defender in the NBA. With better positioning on defensive rotations in the future, I'm sure I'll be able to find a better gif than him blocking a helpless, ground bound (i.e. white) JJ Redick.

Chris Paul
Important stats:
2.4 Steals per game (1st in NBA), Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan's defensive rating:101

Fans love steals, pretty much every single year the finalist for the defensive player of the year is tops in the league in steals. Chris Paul leads the league in steals, especially those of the spectacular variety. He makes the type of defensive plays that stand out in the minds of anyone to watch the game, this alone will get him votes.

Besides being probably the best in the game at pilfering the rock. Paul has lead the transition to the Clippers being an excellent defensive team. Without his instruction Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan, would probably still be running around on defense like chickens with their heads cut off. Instead, both have taken a leap forward defensively, posting career bests in defensive ratings. Griffin's rise has been all the more impressive when you consider he lacks elite length or width to alter shots and occupy a wide area in the paint.

Despite Cp3's defensive rating numbers being far from elite, he is an elite defender. In his case Lob City's constant track meet pace makes it more difficult to produce elite defensive numbers. Don't make the mistake of looking at his 102 rating and believing him to be a slightly above average defender, he is the engine that makes this team go both on defense and the offense their defense creates. Realize that almost every  run out seen on sports center was created by the strong team defense that Paul has instituted in LA.

Although Paul, is one of the best in the game at picking pockets, and has orchestrated the defensive improvements in a number of young players, he is not perfect. Occasionally he is guilty of a flop, apparently overacting in the Hollywood area is contagious.

Just missing the cut: Lebron James, Tyson Chandler. Roy Hibbert, Tim Duncan, Serge Ibaka, Kevin Garnett, Tony Allen, Marc Gasol. All of these players fall into one of the following categories that excluded them from the finalist list: being too old/injured, not bringing enough to the table offensively to get noticed making the spectacular play at the expense of sound defensive rotations or having an offense so potent that consistent defensive effort isn't needed.

NBA Draft Prospect Watch: ACC Tournament

The ACC tournament starts today at noon with Boston College taking on  Georgia Tech at the Greensboro Coliseum in North Carolina. The conference tournaments provide the world with one last chance to watch the premier teams on a neutral floor before March Madness starts. Filling out a solid bracket usually starts by understanding who is playing their best basketball to end the season, and there is no better place to ascertain this than, the conference tournaments.

For NBA fans the conference tournaments have an additional function. These tourneys allow players  to begin a meteoric rise that could lift an athlete to the first round, or on the flip side show the holes in their game that prove they are not NBA material.

Since I am Boston College basketball fan, I make sure to watch as much ACC basketball as my time allows. With some knowledge of the Atlantic Coast draft prospects I give you the top five prospects to look out for in the ACC tournament (in no particular order)

Erick Green
Virginia Tech
Combo Guard

PPG	RPG	APG	FG%	BPG
25.4	4.1	3.9	.482	0.2

NBA Comparable: Jason Terry
NBA Role: Bench Microwave Scorer

Green has had an outstanding season. Despite playing on an awful team he was able to capture the ACC player of the year trophy, which usually goes to the best player on the best team in the conference. Green is a superb scorer, with good straight line speed to the hoop. He also has a wide array of off the dribble moves that he uses to create space for his high releasing jump shot.

Being that he is already 22 years old he lacks the upside of some of his draft counterparts. What he lacks in upside he makes up for by being a professional scorer (even in the college ranks). If he is drafted by a team that allows him to provide bench scoring and doesn't ask too much he should excel. If a team drafts him to be their point guard and asks him to get his teammates involved he will flounder in the league. Expect him to go in the second round due to the NBA's recent phobia of college Seniors.
 
Alex Len
Maryland
Center

PPG	RPG	APG	FG%	BPG
11.8	8.1	0.8	.526	1.9

 NBA Comparable: (a poor man's) Pau Gasol
NBA Role: Skilled Finesse Big Man

Alex Len is a enormous prospect that doesn't come around often. Standing at 7'1 and weighing 255 he looks every bit the part of an elite center in the NBA, that combined with his youth (19 years old) screams potential. On top of his physical make up, Len is an extremely skilled post player, possessing good touch around the basket, and the ability to score over both shoulders in the post.

Despite the glowing previous paragraph, Len has failed to live up to his elite potential in his two years at Maryland. There are two reasons for this, the Terapin guards have not been getting him the ball in good scoring position and his inability to get deep post position. The latter reason is extremely troubling. Game after game Len was pushed out of the paint by players who were smaller but stronger than him. If Len can get stronger so that he can receive the ball in a position to score, he will be a very good NBA player.

Mason Plumlee
Duke
Power Forward

PPG	RPG	APG	FG%	BPG
17.2	10.3	2	.589	1.5

NBA Comparable: Taj Gibson
NBA Role: Uptempo Power Forward

Mason Plumlee is a perfect example of scouts having too much film on a four year player. As is often the case Seniors are viewed more harshly than younger players, after playing four seasons scouts have had the opportunity to see every fault of a player. As careers progress Seniors are viewed more on what they can't do than what they can, where with freshman weaknesses can be dismissed due to inexperience.

Plumlee is one of the best players in the ACC. He leads an elite team in an elite conference. He has the length to finish at the rim on offense and bother shots on defense. He can finish with either hand, in the post and can occasionally knock down the mid range jumper. However, all of this is diminished because he has less upside the his younger counterparts in the draft.

Through his college career Plumlee has been a strong, steady force for the Blue Devils. Although, there were games where he was shut down, the positives far outweigh the negatives. Despite being a very good college player, his game is tailor made for the NBA. His length, athleticism and ability to run the floor will allow him to flourish in the wide open professional game.

James McAdoo
North Carolina
Forward

PPG	RPG	APG	FG%	BPG
14.6	7.6	1.2	.448	0.4

NBA Comparable: Thaddeus Young
NBA Role: 3/4 Match Up Nightmare

McAdoo is exactly the type of player that scared teams to death 10 years ago, the dreaded tweener. Fortunarely for him, the NBA has changed in the last ten years. Before every team in the league had someone who could score from the low post, now those true post scorers are in the single digits. This lack of post scoring is a great thing for McAdoo, who could be exposed on the defensive end for his lack of height. The league today simply does not have the players to take advantage of this deficiency.

While McAdoo might not have the length to effectively defend in the post, he has the strength, athleticism and the motor to be an effective rebounder. Rebounding has replaced post defensive as the most essential skill for power forwards and McAdoo has this skill in spades. On offense he is relentless in attacking the glass, on defense he consistently boxes out which might not help his individual rebounding numbers, but it does help Carolina's overall rebounding numbers.

 At the four in the NBA, McAdoo will use his speed to get a plethora of baskets in transition. He will make it in the league as an energy player getting offensive rebounds and playing hard.

C.J. Leslie
North Carolina State
Small  Forward

PPG	RPG	APG	FG%	BPG
14.9	7.5	1.4	.531	1.2

NBA Comparable: Tyrus Thomas/Hakim Warrick
NBA Role: Athletic Small Forward off bench

A great athlete who can take over games by being active. Unfortunately his activity level wanes from time to time. In the NBA this inconsistent effort will get him a one way ticket to the bench. If he is able to bottle his athleticism and make sure his motor never stops he could be a very good player.

Despite playing power forward in college Leslie is of too slight build to play the same position in the pros. Everyone would back him down in the paint and get layups, just like they do to Hakim Warrick. The difference between their games to me is the quickness and strength of Leslie, which I believe will allow him to play defense in way Warrick has not been able to in the pros.

At this point and time his game is strictly about length and vertical, but with work he could develop a consistent face up game to go along with his god given talents. With his high upside he could easily get hot in the tournament, and his stock could skyrocket.

February Trade Rumors: Josh Smith to Philadelphia

Source: Chad Ford's NBA Trade Watch

"The consensus around the league continues to be that Smith is gone, either by trade or free agency. The situation in Atlanta continues to deteriorate to the point that the Hawks seem to have little choice but to let him go now -- unless they can find a way to pry away Dwight Howard from the Lakers to play alongside his friend Smith.

The latest intel, via our own Chris Broussard, has the Nets entering the picture for Smith. The question is whether a package of Kris Humphries and MarShon Brooks is enough to make a deal. That's doubtful. The Hawks would prefer a young center.

The Spurs have been mentioned as a possible suitor, but unless they are willing to part with Kawhi Leonard (highly unlikely), they don't really have the assets.

Look for the 76ers, who have been dangling both Spencer Hawes and Evan Turner to other teams, to be a potential landing place."

Why for Philadelphia:

Josh Smith is an elite talent playing at a position of need for the 76ers. Fitting him next to Thaddeus Young and Smith would create a long athletic 3/4 combination that would cause match up problems around the league. With the emergence of Jrue Holliday, Philadelphia would be best served to surround him with as many athletic players to run the floor alongside him as possible.

If Bynum, is healthy next year and remains in Philadelphia, the Sixers would have the makings of a long athletic team that defends at an elite level and breaks out off of every miss. Should Bynum and/or Smith decide to leave Philadelphia could find themselves with a large amount of cap room to rebuild their team in any way they see fit.

Why for Atlanta:

The Hawks have been trying to move Josh Smith for a while, but have yet to get an offer that they consider worthwhile. With the new CBA changing the rules for sign and trades it becomes even more imperative that they move him before he becomes a free agent this summer.

Since, Danny Ferry took over Atlanta they have been looking to build a team with young talent and financial flexibility. Bringing back Turner for Smith would allow the Hawks to bring back a young player that could be an all star presence in Atlanta for years to come. 

Ford's rumor of moving Spencer Hawes in the deal makes sense for Philadelphia, but less so for Atlanta. Since Ferry has started remodeling the team, cap flexibility has been stressed. If they move J-Smoove taking back at least one expiring deal would be a necessity.  Including Nick Young in the deal allows the Hawks to keep some of their cap flexibility while adding young talent. A first would have to be included by the Sixers to make this feasible for Atl.

Check out the other posts in our February Trade Rumors Series:

First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
Eighth
Ninth
Tenth
Eleventh 

February Trade Rumors: Brandon Jennings to Dallas

Source:

Mavs, I'm told, do have interest in Brandon Jennings and will be in mix for him if Bucks opt to make RFA-to-be available b4 Feb. 21 deadline
— Marc Stein (@ESPNSteinLine) February 13, 2013

Mavs NOT after Josh Smith but PG clearly been big worry in Big D. Trade targets, Cuban said Monday, must be worthy of "top three" on roster
— Marc Stein (@ESPNSteinLine) February 13, 2013

Why for Dallas:
Dallas has openly stated that they want to obtain a point guard if they are to make a deal before the deadline.  Brandon Jennings is a very good point guard who could flourish running the pick and pop with Dirk. During their 2011 title run Dallas lived off of a pick and pop with a combination of Dirk Nowitzki and Jason Terry/JJ Barea/Jason Kidd, all of which were adept long range shooters. Jennings would bring another long range shooter in the fold, so that Dallas could get back to its bread and butter offense.

Why for Milwaukee:
The Bucks would have trouble parting with Brandon Jennings, but this return would make his leaving more palpable. In moving Jennings for Collison they would be getting the pass first point guard that could make Monta Ellis play up to his potential again.

Shawn Marion would bring the Bucks a veteran with playoff experience. He also would give them a solid starter at what has been their weakest position all season, small forward. His defensive prowess combined with Larry Sanders and Luc Richard Mbah a Moute would vault the Bucks into an upper echelon defensive team. Milwaukee is also not a very good defensive rebounding team, bringing Marion into the fold would certainly help rectify that problem.

On top of getting Collison and Marion, the Bucks would be ecstatic to get out from under the awful contract of Drew Gooden. Moving Gooden would not only help their cap situation but it would also free up more time for John Henson and Samuel Dalembert to play.

Check out the other posts in our February Trade Rumors Series:

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February Trade Rumors: Josh Smith's Suitors

For today's rumor, we look at potentially the most dynamic name on the market in Atlanta's Josh Smith.  Josh Smith brings not only versatility and athleticism to his team, but also provides stellar defense, rebounding  and is an explosive fast break partner.  Yesterday, ESPN's Chris Broussard reported that the Brooklyn Nets have had discussions about acquiring Smith, but they aren't alone in their desire to add him, as the Rockets and Mavericks covet a star to pair with the ones currently on their teams, James Harden and Dirk Nowitski Respectively.  Let's look at the potential packages coming back to Atalanta if they decide to trade the hometown kid.

Will Smith be a deadline grab for a playoff team?

So we all know that Josh Smith is from Atlanta, as is Dwight Howard, so some theorists believe that both players could sign with the Hawks long term this summer.  While this is only speculation on either side of the line, I for one don't see either player sticking with A-Town, so the Hawks should acquire whatever assets they can before Smith bolts for greener pastures. 

What they could get from the Rockets:

Well this is a really difficult trade partner, mostly because Houston is not going to trade Harden, Lin or Asik, their three highest paid players and therefore don't have the salary to match Smith in any trade.  I won't even bother putting a trade machine screen shot here, because unless a 3rd team is willing to come along and offer a good inexpensive point guard to Houston, allowing them to make Lin expendable, then this is only a pipe dream.  If they were to find a PG to replace Lin, then Lin, Terrence Jones and a cap filler would head to the ATL. I do however expect Houston to be a player for Smith in free agency this summer even if they cannot land him before the deadline.

What could they get from Big D:

A trade involving two picks from this past year in Jae Crowder and Jared Cunningham, a combo guard with scoring potential in Rodrigue Beaubois and veteran Shawn Marion as well as first round pick may get it done.  Marion has said he wont report if traded to a bad team, so that is yet another contract off the books for Atlanta if he doesn't show, or if he does they get a tradeable piece next year. It is not the greatest haul for the Atlanta, but it definitely gives them a couple pieces moving forward, especially the draft pick. I also believe Cunningham will be a plus defensive player once he adjusts to the NBA game.

What they could get from the Nets:

Well the Nets unfortunately do not have a plethora of young talent on their team.  What they could offer would be a combination of a tough rebounder in Kris Humphries, a potential 6th man esque combo guard scorer in Marshon Brooks, a future backup point guard in Tyshawn Taylor, and a draft pick. Would this be enough to entice Atlanta?  I think no way, a 3rd team would need to get involved and even then, what do they Nets have that is of tradeable value?

Just some more food for thought here at the Pick and Pop.  We will be covering the Trade deadline with greater depth as the week goes along.  Please feel free to discuss any deals in the comments section below this post.  The trade deadline is only 10 days away now, get ready for Rumor Season to keep heating up.

Check out the other posts in our February Trade Rumors Series:


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February Trade Rumors: Redick to Milwaukee

It seems that every contending team in the league has inquired about J.J Redick. What is not to like about a sharp shooting guard who plays solid defense and is on an expiring contract. The last bit is very important, in the new fiscally responsible NBA, no team wants to be bogged down by long term contracts. The latest iteration of the Redick deal solves the Jazz need for a point guard, and provides Orlando with some young prospects to build around.

The connection between Redick and Milwaukee:

Weekend Dime addendum: Milwaukee now in mix for Magic's JJ Redick. Bucks, I'm told, assessing their ability to retain sharpshooter long term
— Marc Stein (@ESPNSteinLine) February 9, 2013

To meet asking price for Redick -- expiring(s) and a future first-round pick -- Bucks naturally wanna know they can retain free agent-to-be
— Marc Stein (@ESPNSteinLine) February 9, 2013

The Trade:

Why for Milwaukee:
Through this deal the Bucks will emerge as a contender. Statistically, Milwaukee's greatest weaknesses are  defensive rebounding, three point shooting, field goal percentage, and free throw attempts. This tells a story of a team that needs to improve offensively specifically in the way in which they score. Milwaukee has some excellent defensive players, yet their style is fast and loose (4th fastest pace in the league) with the ball instead of controlled as you would expect from a good defensive team. Simply put, Milwaukee needs a face lift and it starts by separating two shoot first point guards playing in the same back court.

Replacing Ellis in the starting lineup with Redick would force their offense to be more about executing and less about speed, a stylistic change that would help. Millsap would add a second player to their team that could execute well in the half court, as a scorer, an excellent rebounder and a superb screener. Millsap would not only help on offense but he would clean up the biggest deficiency on the defensive end, rebounding.

Having watched a lot of Bucks basketball I have come to several realizations. 1. Ellis is not working in Milwaukee, he needs the ball in his hands and that isn't happening enough there. 2. The Bucks need to reorganize around one of the best defenders in the league, Larry Sanders. This trade solves both problems as well as giving Milwaukee cap flexibility this off-season.

Why for Orlando:
The Magic are reportedly looking for expiring contracts and a future first round pick. In this trade they get neither but the same goal is accomplished none the less. The Magic would pick up two young plus prospects that can give them solid minutes right away (instead of an expiring and a pick that will help them in a few years) Partnering Henson with Nikola Vucevic gives Orlando two bigs that are long athletic and can rebound. Tobias Harris gives them another wing player to develop next to Mo Harkless. Combine those four with a throw back post scorer in Andrew Nicholson, what will probably be a high draft pick this year and suddenly the Magic future goes from dim to very bright.

Why for Utah:
According to a Zach Lowe piece, a Monta' Ellis drive leads to high percentage shots. The Jazz have very few such players that can attack from the wing and create for themselves and others (Gordon Hayward and sometimes Alec Burks). This team has good talent at every position but they are sorely lacking in the wing shot creation department. Ellis would thrive driving the lane and feeding Favors, Kanter and Jefferson.

When the Jazz lose it is often because of their lack of scoring. Ellis would give them a shot in the arm in this department and help them make a playoff push. Although, they are giving up Millsap, Derrick Favors recently has shown himself to be a capable starter in need of a chance. Long term, moving Millsap will help Utah's progression by opening up minutes for Favors and Enes Kanter.

Check out the other posts in our February Trade Rumors Series:

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Eighth

45 Thoughts On the Northwest Division

This weekend I (along with everyone else in the Northeast) have been snowed in due to Nemo the Blizzard. In between shoveling an immense amount of snow I decided to turbo watch as many Northwest Division games as possible. For this week's break down I will list my thoughts, compiled over many cabin fever induced hours of basketball watching. See #41 for an explanation of the picture.

Northwest Division Thoughts

1.       Jefferson is the best post scorer in the NBA, wouldn't be surprised if Utah kept him and moved Paul Millsap

2.       With Gordon Hayward out it shows how big Utah’s need on the wing is. Alec Burks player to look at, young and can score.

3.       Marvin Williams needs to use his athleticism and not just stand at the three point line hoisting threes, he would be a better fit on an up tempo team.

4.       Hot hand comment from Bulls/Jazz: Millsap passes up open jumper to get it to Jefferson who has been hot. Jefferson forced into a difficult jumper by Noah. Lesson is if open shot presents itself you take it.

5.       Millsap will help a contender, he has no problem giving the ball up if he doesn't have possession.

6.       The past few games Burks has played well, giving Utah another promising player to join Hayward, Kanter and Favors. Burks is a combo guar and they could still use a young point like Bledsoe.

7.       De’Marre Carroll good energy player, great at cutting to the hoop, type of bench player that every team could use.

8.       Jazz second unit playing very well together, since this unit is mostly comprised of young players it is a larger indication that they should move Jefferson or Millsap (leaning towards Millsap)

9.       Jazz are not helping Millsap’s trade value by playing him out of position at the small forward.

10.   Favors if given the opportunity will put up similar numbers to Millsap once he is gone.

11.   Favors and Kanter are very physical but more on the offensive end than the defensive. With their strength people should fear going into the paint while they are on defense.

12.   Enes Kanter beautiful sky hook. If he can get that down consistently, with his strength he’ll be very difficult to guard.

13.   Despite thinking that they should give the young guys more time I like what the Jazz are doing developing Kanter and Favors. The best way to develop players is by surrounding them with veterans, not throwing them to the wolves (or Bulls). This will pay dividends for the Jazz in the future.

14.   It’s amazing what one offensive rebound will do, when Kanter got one he could smell the blood in the water then hit the boards even harder, ending up with seven rebounds against Bucks before half.

15.   When the Jazz are right they defend hard, make strong cuts an attack the glass. When they fail they are loose with the ball and can’t free themselves for open shots.

16.   The Jazz announcers are great, some of the best in the league I've heard. Matt Harpring is insightful and not too big of a homer.

17.   Jamaal Tinsley doing a good job distributing, getting the ball into the post and not forcing the issue. Utah needs a point guard to do those things but also one who can attack the defense

18.   With the scoring prowess of Durant and Westbrook, Ibaka gets wide open jumpers on offense by simply standing there.

19.   Length of Westbrook, Durant, Ibaka and Thabo allows them to contest passing lanes at elite level

20.   Attention All NBA teams: The Thunder are more athletic than you! If you do not value the ball, especially in transition they will create points off your turnovers and you will lose, by a lot.

21.   For the life of me I can’t understand why players drive right at Ibaka and try to shoot it over him, he jumps at every opportunity for a block (literally and figuratively), use your upfakes and get the ball to teammates.

22.   Ibaka knocked down a corner three which speaks volumes about his growth, although moving him further away from the hoop might not be the best thing for his development as a player.

23.   Nick Collison has squeezed every ounce out of his talent, watching him off the ball should be mandatory for every big man coming into the league.

24.   Thabeet is just huge, despite him underachieving he should have a long NBA career because of that one trait.

25.   OKC is better than any team in the league at creating stops and breaking out, however I still have questions about their half court game. Finding players for ISOs is easy to defend (relative to other offenses)

26.   The Warriors are a tough match up for a lot of teams because of their three point shooting, however they are also loose with the ball which makes them the perfect match up for OKC.

27.   One way that the Thunder have improved their half court offense is with back door action on the weak side. Even if this doesn’t get the offensive player open it makes sure that Durant (or other ISO option) can’t be doubled.

28.   Every time I see Kevin Martin shoot I am shocked when it goes in. His release is actually perfect but  he moves it from his hip to his shooting pocket before shooting, creating wasted motion for his shot that most coaches would advise you against

29.   Golden State attempted to slow down the Thunder by zoning them up. Good idea, bad execution. In guarding area Warriors forgot to pick up Westbrook and he got right to the hole. Zone with defenders cheating towards Durant on the wing might be a good idea.

30.   Perkins does not fit with OKC, he needs to be on a tough physical defensive team not a break out athletic shooting team. When he is amnestied after this year don’t be shocked if his play improves.

31.   Thunder have a lot of good individual defenders but to take the step to the next level they need to play better as a team as if everyone was attached on a string. They sometimes do this but not their lacking of consistency in this area will cost them come playoff time.

32.   Westbrook has lethal speed and quickness, did an in and out move and Klay Thompson wasn’t even close enough to foul Westbrook

33.   Durant is best scorer in league, doesn't force  the issue but scores when the defense gives him an opportunity. When defender plays off of him he shoots the jumper when defender is overplaying the jumper off of a pick he stops in the lane and gets a layup, he’s an offensive savant

34.   Reggie Jackson, has steadily improved, both as an athlete and a player. Plus he got a top notch education!

35.   Never understood the grammatical rules on singular named teams. Do you say the Thunder are playing well or the Thunder is playing well? Grammatically the Thunder is playing well is correct but for some reason that sounds wrong to me.

36.   Denver is unstoppable on the break and look lost in the half court. This could become a problem in the playoffs.

37.   If Galinari, Lawson and Iguodala can hit threes it opens up the floor for their athletes to attack.

38.   Nuggets are athletic as they come but if the weak side defender fails to rotate it doesn't matter how athletic they are, they will give up easy buckets.

39.   Lawson is so fast, got to stop him before he gets a head of steam

40.   Like OKC, Denver makes you pay for any lazy passes, with a fast break that yields automatic buckets.

41.   On the broadcast for the Nuggets the commercial for Stevinson Automotive contains one of the worst mustaches I've ever seen. I'm assuming this guy is rich, but he is surrounding by yes men if he thinks a five o'clock stubble mustache is his best look.

42.   Denver presses from time to time, this is a great idea in that it can force their opponent into the fast paced game that they excel in.

43.   JaVale McGee is athletic as hell but very immature. Ran a play for him to go back door for an alley-oop, passing lane was blocked so pass wasn’t made. McGee pouted instead of attacking offensive glass. It is things like this that prevent George Karl from starting him.

44.    Wilson Chandlerand Andre Miller give Denver two bench guys that are adept in half court offense, expect them to do big things in the playoffs if Denver is to do anything.

45.   Koufos’ fundamentally sound game blends well with all the track star s in Denver’s starting lineup. Sets solid screens, plays good help defense and boxes out.