Saturday, April 27, 2013

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Saturday, April 20, 2013

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Tuesday, April 16, 2013

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Tuesday, April 9, 2013

Who Gets the 8th seed in the West?

With the final week of NBA games now looming and the final spot in the western playoffs still up for grabs, it's time to start looking forward to the second season.  The Utah Jazz and LA Lakers are battling it out for that final seed, with Utah holding onto a 1/2 game lead with just one more win than the Lakers.  Let's take a look at each teams remaining schedule to see who has the best shot of sneaking into the postseason.




The Utah Jazz: 41-37 

4 remaining Games: They own the tiebreaker against the Lakers.

1. Tonight they host OKC @ 9:00 PM: While this is a home game, it's obviously a mismatch for the Jazz who may drop a game here to one of the NBA's elite. The Thunder will be hungry for a win after a loss to the Knicks in their last outing as they sit just a single game behind the Spurs for the top seed in the West.  How will the Jazz cover Russell Westrbook in this game? They have done a good job containing him so far this year as he is averaging nearly 7 turnovers a game against the Jazz this season.  How they limit him will be the key to getting a big win. Utah has 2 of 3 so far this season to the Thunder.

2. Friday April 12th 9:00 PM vs. Minny: The first half of a home and home against the Twolves, the Jazz should absolutely take care of business here against a far inferior opponent.  They have won both matchups so far this season.

3. Monday April 15th @Minny 8:00 PM: Not much to add here, the second half of the home and home is another must win for the Jazz.

4. Wednesday April 17th @Memphis 8:00 PM: A very tough road game here as the Grizzlies are in a fight for playoff seeding themselves (they are currently one game back of home court in the first round). The Jazz have lost two of three to Memphis but did win their last matchup 90-84 on march 16th.

Overall, I see the Jazz going 2-2, but have a good chance at 3-1.  I can't see them beating the Thunder who have a lot to play for and are a better team, but they may be able to take the game from Memphis, especially if Memphis' seeding has been locked in by that point.  Memphis may rest their players in that case opening the door for the Jazz to sneak in another victory, but if they still need a win themselves, I would doubt a tough nosed Grizzlies team loses on its home floor in such a case. The Jazz need to win against the Twolves and I believe they will.  Rubio and the gang have a chance to play post season spoilers, so don't expect them to rollover though.

Since they hold the Tiebreaker, they have an excellent shot at beating out the Lakes here.

LA Lakers: 40-37

5 games reaming

1. Tonight vs. New Orleans 10:30 PM: A must win for the Lakers, I don't expect this game to be close.  Look for the Lakers to dominate the paint with Gasol and Howard.  The only shot NO has in my opinion is if Ryan Anderson gets red hot from downtown, forcing Gasol out of his comfort zone in the paint and out to the perimeter.

2. Wednesday April 10th @ Portland 10:00 PM: Just because Portland will be on the outside looking in at the playoffs doesn't mean the won't want to spoil one of their rivals chances at getting in.  I expect this to be a hotly contested battle with Damian Lillard and Kobe in scoring duel.  This game is a real toss up for me.

3. Friday April 12th vs. Golden State 10:30 PM: Another toss up, this game will be close, but I think Golden State, as the better team comes away with a crushing victory.

4. Sunday April 14th vs. San Antonio 9:30 PM: San Antonio should win this game as long as they still have a shot at the 1st overall seed.  LA will need to win every other game they play to be able to stomach a loss here, but I don't see that happening.

5. Wednesday April 17th, vs. Houston 10:30 PM: Could this be Dwight Howard's last game as a Laker? I think so regardless of a win or loss.

For a realistic shot at the postseason, especially since the Jazz hold the tiebreaker, the Lakers need to go 4-1. I see them going 3-2 despite 4 of the 5 remaining games being played in Staples center.  If the Jazz really falter they could sneak in, but I doubt it.  This just wasn't a good season for the purple and gold...

My prediction: The Jazz hold onto the 8th seed...only to go on to lose in 5 games to the top team.

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Sunday, April 7, 2013

Mock Draft Number One: The Lottery

I'm a big fan of drafts, I love the NFL draft, I love doing movie drafts on our podcast, but most of all I love the NBA draft. This is the first mock draft I have ever done so bear with me. This particular mock was created exceedingly early in the process, draft order has yet to be determined, for now we are taking the inverse of the current standings to determine the draft order, this will be corrected after the draft lottery. This mock draft contains only the lottery teams, look for the second half of the first round tomorrow. So without further ado, here is the first of what will be many mock drafts.

1. Charlotte: Nerlens Noel PF/C University of Kentucky

To me Noel is the player with the most potential in the entire draft. Despite his knee injury he is the most likely to come into the league and be a force immediately (provided he has recovered from his knee injury). With recent draft picks in  Bismack Biyombo and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist the Bobcats have shown to place a high value on defense. Adding Noel to their young core will give Charlotte a stout defense to build around.

2. Orlando: Marcus Smart PG Oklahoma State
 In a little over a year's time the Magic went from a team with Dwight Howard and a bunch of scrubs (his words not mine) to one with good young talent at every position. Every position, that is except point guard. Smart is a big combo guard with the ability to play both back court positions and the tools to be an elite defender at either spot. Sure his shot selection and inconsistent play hurt his stock, but in the end his upside will be too hard to pass on at a position of need.

3. Cleveland: Otto Porter SF Georgetown
Despite Cleveland's superlative point guard (Kyrie Irving) they are a team that struggles to score in an efficient manner (28th in field goal percentage). The palindrome is as polished a scorer as there is in college basketball. He will be able to come in right away and give the Cavs a stabilizing presence in the half court. McLemore might have a higher upside, but Porter is more ready to contribute right away. With all the young pieces on this team adding another project like McLemore is not ideal.

4. Phoenix: Ben McLemore SG Kansas
The Suns would be ecstatic if McLemore fell to them at the fourth spot in the draft. B Mac has as high an upside as any player in the draft and could become Phoenix's new franchise player. The problem with his high ceiling is, it isn't always evident game in and game out. During Kansas' season he went from looking like the best player in the country to someone you didn't realize was on the court. If he can become more consistent with age he will be the steal of the draft at four.

5. Detroit: Victor Oladipo SG Indiana
All season Detroit has had one glaring hole, wing play. Oladipo would instantly improve the Pistons perimeter defense as well as add energy to a Pistons team that looked listless at times during the season. Combining him with Andre Drummond would give the Pistons two good defenders and fast break finishers to build around.

6. New Orleans: Alex Len C Maryland
Len is the type of big skilled center that rarely comes around. With a solid array of post moves he is able to score in a variety of ways, or at least he would be able to if he had the strength to get deep post position. For all his skill, Len did not live up to his potential in college, getting consistently pushed out of the paint by smaller stronger players. However, after some time in an NBA weight room Len could combine with Anthony Davis to give the Pelicans their front court of the next 10 years.

7. Sacramento: Trey Burke PG Michigan
Whether they end up being the Kings of Sacramento or the Supersonics of Seattle, they are a team that lacks cohesion. Although Isaiah Thomas has played well this year his lack of size has hurt Sacto defensively. Trey Burke will be able to come in and immediately regulate Sacramento's offense (to the point that it no longer looks like an AAU team launching the first shot that presents itself) while giving up little on the defensive end.

8. Oklahoma State (via Toronto): Anthony Bennett PF UNLV
An embarrassment of riches would be the best way to describe the fact that OKC will have a top 10 pick in the draft this year. Anthony Bennett can do it all, score from inside and out, rebound, block shots and run the floor. With his natural talent Bennett's most glaring weakness is his propensity to float through some of his games. He is only 6'7 which is not ideal for a power forward, but his wing span and girth allow him to be effective at the four. Being drafted by an established team will provide him with good habits and allow OKC to produce another elite player.

9. Minnesota: Shabazz Muhamad SG UCLA
Last offseason, the T-Wolves identified their biggest need as wing production, signing Adrei Kirilenko and trading their first round pick for Chase Budinger. AK47 could opt out of the last year of his contract in favor of signing a longer extension somewhere else, leaving Minny with the same hole they filled last offseason. Shabazz Muhammad will provide Minnesota with the wing scoring they need to fill this hole.

10. Washington: Cody Zeller C Indiana
Before the season started Zeller was expected to vie for the top pick in the 2013 NBA draft. What happened? In his sophomore year struggled  to score over some of the longer college centers, and more importantly he didn't become more assertive . His freshman year, Zeller showed flashes of being a dominant big man, this year he has shown the same flashes but not any more regularly than the previous year. This inability to dominate showed that he is probably more of a solid starter than a franchise player to build around.

11. Philadelphia: Steven Adams C Pittsburgh
Steven Adams is a big strong athletic center. With so few true centers in the league these days teams will bite on the potential of any seven footer that can run down the court without falling over. Adams has the athleticism and size to be an elite center but is incredibly raw. With Andrew Bynum's future up in the air the Sixers might be willing to gamble on Adams boundless potential

12. Portland: Isaiah Austin PF/C Baylor
Austin is ultra athletic, seven feet tall with soft touch all the way out to the three point line. He has everything you would want in a prospect except girth. At 220 Austin is far too slight to play center in the NBA. Although he still needs some refinement on his defensive rotations and shot selection, I expect him to correct these flaws, put on weight, and be a main stay in Portland for years to come.

13. Dallas: Michael Carter-Williams PG Syracuse
The Mavs have started ancient journeyman Mike James for most of their post all star break games, this more than anything should tell you that they need a point guard. MCW might not last this long, but if he does Dallas will be extremely excited. Carter-Williams was the best player on Syracuse's final four team and should be an excellent pro.

14. LA Lakers: Rudy Gobert C France
You simply can not teach length and at 7'2 with a 7'6 wing span Gobert has length in spades. His game film indicates an elite talent, until you realize he is playing against poor competition that he literally dwarfs. With Dwight Howard being a free agent after the year the Lakers would love to grab a big man with elite potential.

Look for the second half of the first round tomorrow.

Thursday, April 4, 2013

NBA Draft Big Board Top 40

Welcome to the Latest Edition of the PickandPopDiaries NBA Draft big board! This is my biggest yet, 40 prospects deep.  Tomorrow, fellow blogger Evan Javel will have out the first of our Mock Drafts.  This list is how I look at players NBA skill sets, not the order of the draft, as each team has their own needs.  Enjoy, comment, and come back for more as we get ready for the postseason and the NBA Draft.


1. Ben McLemore, Kansas SG 6-5

By this point I'm sure everyone is familiar with the Kansas star freshman.  McLemore's combination of incredible athleticism, a sweet shooting stroke and strong defense have us all thinking he could be a future all star.  His inconsistencies though have left some doubt about his place atop the draft board, but I believe his skill set and good health should place him above Noel for most teams. Games like his monster effort against West Virginia on March 2nd when he dropped 36 on 12-15 shooting including 5-6 from deep speak to his potential.  His 2 point, 0-9 from the field performance in Kansas' 3rd round win in the tourney vs UNC show his inconsistencies.

2. Nerlens Noel, Kentucky PF/C 6-11

An ACL tear has not limited his value much at all on NBA draft boards.  The shot blocking phenom has incredible athleticism and energy. He will likely never be a big time scorer at the next level, but what he brings to a team is far more valuable than that.  If he could shoot well, I'd compare him to KG.  He has incredible passion and plays the game as hard as anyone.  Any team that drafts him will be making a great choice, he could easily go number 1.


3. Otto Porter, Georgetown SF 6-8

This kid does everything well.  He is a safe pick and will excel on the next level.  I see a lot of Rudy Gay in his game, but I believe he can score more efficiently.

4. Marcus Smart, Ok. St PG 6-4

The versatile Smart has as much potential as anyone, but I just haven't seen the consistency and shooting stroke that screams franchise player from the PG position.  I think he could be a similar player to Tyreke Evans, which is not a bad thing, but I believe not worthy of the top overall pick.  He does possess incredible passing, court vision and handle so regardless he will be a major asset on the next level.

5. Anthony Bennett, UNLV PF 6-8

I love AB and if he was 6-10 he would likely go number one, but as an undersized power forward, he will have his hands full at the next level.  He has excellent ball handling for his size, great agility and instincts, but he needs to improve both his shooting and conditioning to be a star.  He could be the next Paul Milsap and an offensive force on the next level. I do worry about his defense.

6. Victor Oladipo, Indiana SG 6-5

OLA-DIPO! That chant never got old for me this season as this athletic freak took the NCAA by storm.  A first team All American, he is a dominant wing defender, a terrific driver and finisher at the rim and a solid shooter.  If he can become a knock down shooter, which is possible with his pretty shooting stroke, he could be 20-25 point a game scorer.

7. Shabazz Muhammed, UCLA SG/SF 6-6

Well Bazz is one year older than we all thought and that hurts him by pushing him out of top 5 consideration.  He struggles defensively and getting his teammates involved, but he can score with the best of them.  He should be able to come into the league and be a double digit scorer right away.

8. Cody Zeller, Indiana PF/C 6-11

You couldn't ask for a more polished big man. He does everything well, has great footwork and absolutely flies up and down the court.  He needs to get stronger, much stronger, but he comes in ready to play big minutes right away.

9. Trey Burke, Michigan PG 6-0

This kid has heart to go along with his amazing skill set.  He isn't the fastest or strongest, both of which he will work on, but he just knows how to play on both ends of the floor.  He is the heart of Wolverines and the likely national player of the year.  I would love to have a warrior like this on my team.

10. Michael Carter-Williams, Syracuse PG 6-5

The best passer in this class, MCW has risen to new heights in the tourney.  He now is finally looking like the scorer we all thought he could be, dominating the paint as a PG. He may need one year to adjust and add some strength as well as adjusting to man-to-man defense (the Cuse run a zone) but as a point guard prospect in this class I don't think he's far behind Smart.

11. Alex Len, Maryland C 7-1

Well, his guards are not very good and don't get him looks in good scoring position, but the polished big man can score from about anywhere. He will need to add considerable strength, but a Brook Lopez comp is not out of the question if things go well for him.

12. Glen Robinson III, Michigan SF 6-6

He doesn't get enough looks in the Michigan offense and I thought about placing him hire on this list, but for now I'll keep him late lottery.  He can shoot, pass, and handle well. He has great athleticism and length which he combines with intelligent play.  He doesn't always show up, but as I said, I believe that is more a factor of playing on such a stacked team. If he gets stronger (do I say this for everyone?) and handle the physicality of NBA SFs than he will be a steal this late.

13. Gary Harris, Mich. St. SG 6-4

A great athlete with an NBA body, the only downsides to this player is that he is not a great shooter yet and he is little undersized.  He can get to the rim and finish in a variety of ways from 15 feet in.  A solid player, not a star.

14. Mason Plumlee, Duke PF 6-10

Plumlee is made for the NBA with his speed and leaping ability.  I think he will flourish with a double double average within a couple seasons.  If he gets picked up by a running team like Houston or Golden State or plays with an elite point guard he will be a monster.

15. Kelly Olynyk, Gonzaga C 7-0

The smooth big man from Canada can score in any way. Back to the basket, face up, or on the break the man can just score.  He isn't an elite rebounder or shot blocker but he does know how to play.  His big-time improvement this year gives me hope he can be a good pro.  And yes, he needs to add strength to play in the post in the NBA.

16. CJ McCollum, Lehigh SG 6-3

A true scorer with good handle, he comes in NBA ready.  A nice player to add if he slips to a playoff caliber team.

17. Steven Adams, Pitt C 7-0

A project big no doubt, but you cannot teach size and athleticism.  He is strong and plays with great energy too. I think he should stay, but as the youngest of 18 children, family pressures are likely to push him into the draft.

18. Dario Saric, Croatia, SF 6-10

He is a very skilled wing player who can handle and dish the rock.  Great court vision and rebounding are combined with a below average jump shot.  He needs work, but with a good shooting stroke could be a star.

19. Jeff Withey, Kansas C 7-0

The dominant shot blocker from Kansas should have a long prosperous NBA career.  He is not a great rebounder, but can finish at the rim and will be active on both ends.  I really like this pick for any NBA playoff team.

20. Jammal Franklin, San Diego St. SG 6-5

A terrific rebounder and slasher, Franklin is also a great defensive player.  While he does not have star potential, he screams glue guy for a playoff team.

21. Rudy Gobert, France PF/C 7-1

He has a massive 7'9" wingspan to go along with great athleticism.  He doesn't have great strength or a polished offensive game, but as a project he an intriguing one.

22. Archie Goodwin, Kentucky SG 6-5

Goodwin looked out of control for most of the season with wild drives and scoring very inefficiently most of the time.  He does however have great ability.  More seasoning would be nice, but he is a first round pick right now.

23. Gorgui Dieng, Louisville C 6-11

A good rebounder and shot blocker, I think he should be a quality big man at the next level.  A post up game could make him a very dangerous player.  Another of the quality bigs that will be available at the end of the first round in this draft.

24. Isiah Austin, Baylor SF/PF 7-0

While he is super skilled and tall, he just hasn't had any consistency this year.  I believe he should stay, but a team will bite on him in the first if he goes.

25. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Georgia SG 6-5

Great shooter, defender and overall athlete his big weakness is moving with the ball. He could be a really good pro.

26. Shane Larkin, Miami PG 5-11

I hope he stays, but Larkin can handle the ball, shoot well and is a solid passer.  I think he could be Jameer Nelson 2.0 if he works on his finishing ability at the rim

27. Tony Mitchell, North Texas PF 6-8

A freak athlete who can do everything well, yet just doesn't most games.  If he gets his motor right, I think he could be Kenyon Martin.

28. James Michael-McAdoo, UNC PF 6-9

He is a great athlete, but a constant disappointment.  Maybe the challenge and coaching of the NBA level could get him to finally play to his potential.

29. Mitch McGary, Michigan, PF/C 6-10

McGary is a huge body who came in as the second highest rated prospect out of high school last year.  He has had a monster tourney, but from watching him for the full year I believe he can score and rebound at the NBA level, but may get taken to school on defense. His best comp is Nikola Pekovic if he maxes his potential.

30. Allen Crabbe, Cal SG/SF 6-6

The PAC-12 player of the year is a just a great scorer with deep range on his jump shot.  He goes after loose balls and is a good rebounder for his position.  He is not particularly athletic or strong, but he seems to be able to get off his shot regardless and can stick with his man on defense.  I could see him being a sneaky pick and turning into a Kevin Martin type player.

31. Patrick Young, Florida C 6-9

He didn't seem to get better this year, but I believe he can still be a quality defensive minded big man.  A quality shot blocker, he needs to improve his rebounding and touch around the rim. He will be a nice pickup for a team if he slides into the second round.

32. Russ Smith, Louisville PG/SG 6-0

A flat-out shooter and slasher, Smith can and loves to score.  He seems to work hard and could be a sixth man type scorer in the mold of Ben Gordon if he is able to get his shot off against the bigger NBA players.  He does have a nice step back which should be his go to at the next level.

33. Myck Kabongo, Texas PG/SG 6-1

Another good undersized scorer and point guard, Myck, who sat out much of the year due to a BS suspension by the NCAA looks to be a sleeper pick. He can pass and handle well, has nice range on his shot, is a scrappy defender and doesn't make too many turnovers. I love this pick at the end of the first for a team like San Antonio or Miami.

34. Lucas Nogueira, Brazil PF/C 6-11

Athletic shot blocker who has a lot of effort in his game is a project offensively.  He is also very weak, but a team could draft him and hold him overseas for a couple years to bulk up before coming over.

35. Adreian Payne, Mich St. PF/C 6-9

An Athletic freak, Payne is a really smooth athlete and looks comfortable as a high post player.  He will block shots and fight for rebounds.  Another player I think should get some looks at the end of the first or be a steal in the second.

36. CJ Leslie, NC State PF 6-9

I have loved Leslie since he came to NC State.  He would be a nice backup power forward as he can run on the break, fight for boards and will mix it up on D.  Needs to add strength to bang with NBA bigs, but this is a skilled man.

37. Doug McDermit, Creighton PF 6-8

A pure scorer and back to back All American, Dougie needs to get in much better shape to play in the NBA.  If he puts in the hard work, he could be a Keith Van Horn type (offensively skilled, limited on D).

38. Nate Wolters, South Dakota St. PG 6-3

He did it all for his Jack Rabbits, Wolters is a great scorer and ball handler.  I don't think he has the speed to be good NBA defender but I think he can score at any level.

39. PJ Hairston, UNC SG 6-5

Strong guard who can shoot from three and take it the whole. He plays with a lot of grit and heart which is great to watch but he is not a great ball handler and lacks the knock down elbow jumper.  I have heard he had weight issues in the past, but I believe with NBA conditioning that should not be a problem.

40.  Reggie Bullock, UNC SF 6-6

Great shooter and scorer in general, Bullock needs to add strength to play D.  I think he could be a nice end of the bench shooter.


Monday, April 1, 2013

Andre Drummond Air-balled back to back free throws


Andre Drummond has put together a great rookie season despite missing a significant amount of time due to a back injury. His averages of 7.5 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.7 blocks in just under 20 minutes a game have Detroit fans drooling at his skyhigh potential. While we have seen his immense talent come out in force in his rookie campaign, we have also seen his biggest weakness become exposed.  Andre Drummond may be the worst free throw shooter in NBA history.  At a woeful 35% clip, he is the easiest target for the hack-a-player strategy.  When thinking of the worst free throw shooters in league history we always think of Chris Dudley, Bruce Bowen, Shaq, Ben Wallace, Wilt the stilt and Andris Biedrins, but Drummond may be the worst of them all.  Last night he had the unfortunate privilege of airballing back to back attempts:



While the future is bright for this young fella, he has to improve this part of his game if he wants to be a 35 minute a night center. Glad to see him back and healthy though, I can't wait to see his improvement for next season.